Ukraine war thread

[al_keda]

Get some smokies too.

[Dr Strangelove]

[Dr Strangelove]

Middle Strike Strategy: Ukraine is focusing on targets 30 to 200 kilometers from the front, including FSB command posts and logistics hubs. This disrupts Russia's ability to maintain supplies, effectively forcing them to pull back their defensive posture (4:15-5:17).
Russian Air Defense Attrition: The video notes that Russia is losing critical air defense systems—such as the S-300 and Pancier-S1—at an unsustainable rate, with reports of roughly one system destroyed per day throughout May 2026 (5:35-6:28).
Logistical Chaos: Recent footage shows key Russian supply routes, particularly the land corridor to Crimea, littered with destroyed vehicles, resembling historical conflict zones. Military bloggers have expressed frustration over the lack of protection for these vital routes (7:14-9:39).
Comparison of Strategies: The creator contrasts this deliberate, layered Ukrainian strategy with Russia's ongoing, repetitive deep strikes against Ukrainian infrastructure, which have thus far failed to achieve a decisive shift in the war (10:09-12:36).
Fundraiser Update:
The creator concludes with an update on a fundraiser for the 104th Territorial Defense Brigade, aimed at providing 35 pickup trucks to help with logistics, medical evacuations, and transporting drones, which are essential for maintaining Ukrainian mobility in the conflict (12:37-14:08).

[al_keda]

I love seeing the videos of Muscovites freaking out becase shit is blowing up in their city.

Welcome to Kiyv for the last 8 years. Payback is a bitch.

[al_keda]

[Dr Strangelove]

Extreme Casualty Rates: Reports suggest that by the end of 2025, Russia had suffered over 350,000 fatalities, with recent monthly death tolls ranging between 15,000 and 20,000 (1:03, 2:51, 16:12).
The "Drone Factor": The saturation of the front lines with FPV drones has fundamentally changed combat, making the evacuation of wounded soldiers nearly impossible and inverting the traditional battlefield ratio of wounded to killed soldiers (0:33, 6:11 - 7:38).
Recruitment vs. Attrition: Russian recruitment is declining (24,000–30,000 per month) while monthly losses (killed, wounded, and captured) have risen to approximately 35,000, creating a growing manpower gap (9:59 - 10:20).
Strategic Context:

Diminishing Gains: Despite these massive losses, Russian territorial gains have been minimal—estimated at 220 square kilometers in 2026—leading analysts to argue the Kremlin's goal of seizing the Donbass by autumn is highly unlikely (2:24, 2:37, 11:31).
Comparative Data: The video highlights that Russian deaths in the last four years have already surpassed the combined American fatalities from Vietnam, Korea, and World War I, and may now exceed total U.S. losses in World War II (15:00 - 16:58).
Conclusion: The video concludes that unless Vladimir Putin alters his military strategy, the mounting human toll threatens to undermine the stability of his regime in a manner similar to the impact of the Afghan war on the Soviet Union (19:23 - 20:41).


Well hurry up already!

[al_keda]

At this point bunker grandpa knows he can't win. Surrender! Keep those young men alive.

[Dr Strangelove]

Putin didn't invade Ukraine because of NATO. He invaded because Ukrainians were proving democracy works.

Historian and Pulitzer Prize winner Anne Applebaum puts it plainly: Putin looked at Ukraine's democratic movement and thought, "If they can do it in Ukraine, then people could do it in Russia. So I need to crush this."

That's the real threat Ukraine posed. Not missiles. Not borders. A working democracy next door.

Applebaum frames the war as a fault line between the democratic and autocratic worlds. Russia isn't just trying to take territory. It's trying to erase Ukraine as a nation, reduce it to a colony, and send a message to every country that the post-1945 rules of Europe no longer apply.

Those rules were simple: no invasions, no wars, borders don't change by force. Russia understood exactly what it was breaking when it crossed into Ukraine.

[Dr Strangelove]

Ukrainian forces have reportedly taken advantage of the chaotic Russian supply situation to mount a local offensive south of Zaporizhzhia, retaking the key town of Stepnohirsk.

Ukrainian forces are now pushing towards Kamyanske, rolling back nearly a year of Russian progress.

[Dr Strangelove]

Core Strategic Objectives
Perun explains that Ukraine utilizes long-range strikes to complement ground operations, categorized into three primary goals:

Simplifying ground operations: Targeting airfields and aircraft to limit Russian aerial capabilities (6:54 - 7:14).
Targeting industrial/economic capacity: Hitting refineries and manufacturing plants to inflict economic pain and strain the Russian state (4:00 - 4:43, 50:12 - 55:00).
Political impact: Targeting high-value or symbolic areas like Moscow to challenge the perception of Russian invulnerability and superiority (7:50 - 8:24).
Key Themes & Developments
Stretching Russian Air Defenses: The video highlights a trend of attriting Russian air defense systems. Visually confirmed losses now exceed 415 systems (19:21 - 20:50). Perun notes that Russia is increasingly forced to divert air defense resources to protect political targets, such as Putin's residence, leaving other infrastructure vulnerable (15:57 - 17:47).
Evolution of Offensive Capabilities: Ukraine has transitioned from improvised systems to a sophisticated, homegrown drone and missile program. This includes jet-powered drone hybrids and the development of indigenous cruise and ballistic missile programs (34:23 - 47:39).
Economic Impact: While Russia has demonstrated resilience in repairing infrastructure, repeated strikes against the energy sector have forced gasoline export bans and constrained refined product output, even if high oil prices continue to buoy Russian revenue (52:26 - 54:08).
Conclusion
Despite the significant constraints and real-world supply chain challenges, the trend indicates that Ukraine's long-range strike capability is growing. Perun concludes that the Russian objective of "demilitarizing" Ukraine has effectively failed, as the war has driven the creation of a significantly more robust Ukrainian long-range strike force (57:54 - 59:55).